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Sport Talk - By Glen Atwell

AFL Round 14 Tips Best Bets

July 3rd 2009 02:21
When Round 1 of the 2009 AFL Premiership Season bounced down way back in March, a few footy freaks had already circled July 6 in their sporting calendar.

No, not for the Wimbledon men's final... and definitely not for the replay of women's singles final, oh no... It was Geelong vs St Kilda.

No-one expected the Saints to be 14-0, and few thought Geelong may drop a game or two along the way, but both remain undefeated and this Sunday's showdown is sold out.

Geelong are $1.63, the Saints $2.55. I think Geelong will win, probably by 20-odd points in the end.

Sport Talk's Best Bet of the Round is Geelong to beat St Kilda, straight out, at $1.63.


There, I got it off my chest. The Cats will slam the Saints on Sunday, and march on to the 2009 AFL Premiership.

Have people forgotten how angry Geelong was at losing last year's flag to the hangover Hawks? The Cats were seething, and will stop at nothing this year to take the top prize.

Geelong will not enter another game this season at odds of $1.64, so load up now and take the cake. Back them for the flag today, and lay off for a profit on Monday.

Sunday's game can, and the odds on offer, can set your book up for the rest of the season. Get on now.

Looking at other games, I'm backing Essendon 42.5 against Collingwood at $1.25 tonight at the MCG. I had the same bet on Essendon against Carlton last week at $1.30 and laid off at half time at $1.01. I'll take the same tactic into tonight's game.

McVeigh is a big blow for the Bombers, but the return of McPhee, who is itching to play well, will cushion the impact.

The Pies will gamble on playing Pendlebury, a huge mistake in my eyes. It will be wet, hard going and tough. One dive across his bad knee and it may be season over for Scott.


Back to Sunday, Fremantle will account for Carlton at odds of $2.34. Back them at the line just to be sure. The Blues won't recover from the belting they got from Essendon last week, and the Dockers can smell an easy win at home.

Ratten has swung the axe this week at Princes Park, and Carlton is much worse off without Stevens.

Just quickly:

Adelaide is value at $1.30 to beat Richmond
Melbourne should beat West Coast on Saturday, the $2.06 on the Demons is generous

Good luck this week.

- Glen Atwell
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Welcome back to Sport Talk. Before we check out today's best bet, let's see how Sport Talk fared last time around:

Betfair Soccer - Confederations Cup - Brazil vs South Africa - Over/Under 4.5 Goals
BACK UNDER 4.5 GOALS AT $1.20 OR BETTER

We got that one up. Let's see the updated ticker:

SPORT TALK'S BEST BETS
Bets: 9
Winning bets: 7
Return on $100: $445


Today, there is a bet worth having everything on. It's the match odds market of Andy Murray vs Andy Roddick in the Wimbledon semi-final.

Betfair Tennis - Wimbledon - Mens Tournament - Semi Final - Murray vs Roddick - Match Odds - BACK MURRAY AT $1.30 OR BETTER.


Murray will cream Roddick, I think in straight sets, and will set up a showdown with Federer in the final.

Roddick has been playing well, and beat a resurgent Hewitt in the quarters. Hewitt is playing OK, but Roddick won't be able to match Murray after winning in a five-set epic.

I'm preparing for a windfall.

- Glen Atwell
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Let's launch a new concept right here, right now:

Sport Talk's Best Sports Bet. It will probably happen everyday. And the bet will probably win. Don't stress if it's odds on - better to back a short price winner than a long odds loser.

Isn't that what they say?

We'll carry over the AFL Best Bet which stands at:

SPORT TALK'S BEST BETS
Bets: 8
Winning bets: 6
Return on $100: $425


The first sporting best bet of the day is:

Betfair Soccer - Confederations Cup - Brazil vs South Africa - Over/Under 4.5 Goals
BACK UNDER 4.5 GOALS AT $1.20 OR BETTER


This may be a goal feast for the Brazilians, but after the USA upset Spain, I'm confident South Africa won't concede 5 goals here.

We'll start with a bet of $100 to win $20 on this moral.

Results and the next Best Sports Bet tomorrow.

- Glen Atwell
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World number one Rafael Nadal will miss Wimbledon due to long-standing problems with tendinitis in his knees.

As Sport Talk reported moments ago, Nadal decision's not to defend his title means Andy Murray will be elevated to the tournament's number two seed


[ Click here to read more ]
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Defending champion and world number one Rafael Nadal will miss this year's Wimbledon grand slam because of recurring and troubling knee injury.

As Nadal prepares to front the media, Sport Talk has learnt that Nadal will not play at the tournament, which has Roger Federer installed as an even-money favourite


[ Click here to read more ]
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Nadal to play Wimbledon 2009

June 15th 2009 11:31
Nadal to play Wimbledon 2009
Will Rafael Nadal play Wimbledon this year? The answer is yes.

The question is on the lips of every sport enthusiast:

[ Click here to read more ]
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AFL Round 12 Tips Odds Best Bets

June 12th 2009 02:30
Welcome back to Sport Talk - It's at a new game-by-game format this week with heaps more commentary and analysis.

Jade Rawlings Richmond coach
It will be a night of firsts for Jade Rawlings, Nick Nat and Ben Cousins when Richmond host the Eagles on Saturday night.

[ Click here to read more ]
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It's a headline Roger Federer is desperate to read.

Roger Federer wins French Open 2009
Federer won't waste his chance to win a French Open title when he plays Soderling on Sunday

[ Click here to read more ]
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Welcome back to Sport Talk for Round 11 of the 2009 AFL Premiership Season. Wow, we're half way already, yet only one game separates 3/4 of the teams on the ladder.

This means the chance for a lot of movement in the second half of the footy season and plenty of good value betting options


[ Click here to read more ]
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AFL Round 10 Tips Best Bets

May 29th 2009 08:15
Welcome back to Sport Talk. A quick one this week, let's check last week's best bet:

Sport Talk's Best Bet for Round 9 is simple:

[ Click here to read more ]
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